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What could a Kamala Harris presidency mean for Ukraine now that Biden is gone?

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All eyes were on Vice President Kamala Harris as the likely candidate to lead the Democratic ticket this fall after US President Joe Biden announced he was withdrawing from the 2024 presidential race.

If Harris is officially confirmed as the nominee to run against Republican Donald Trump in November — she has yet to be selected by delegates at the party’s national convention — and becomes president, the question for Ukraine is what that might mean for the course of the war.

While it is likely that Harris’ policy on Ukraine will remain similar to Biden’s, her appearances at three consecutive Munich Security Conferences — the first in 2022, just five days before Russia’s full-scale invasion began — offer clues about the position she would take on Ukraine.

Harris represented the U.S. at each conference and met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, using the platform to assert herself on the world stage and emphasize U.S. support for Kiev.

At the 2023 conference, Harris said: “As President (Joe) Biden often says, ‘The United States will stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes.’ We will not waver.”

And at this year’s Munich Security Conference, she even engaged in what appeared to be a campaign swipe: she attacked Trump and his party’s foreign policy, without naming any names.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (left) and US Vice President Kamala Harris (right) and members of their delegations
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (left) and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris (right), as well as members of their delegations, meet for talks at the Munich Security Conference (MSC) in Munich, southern Germany, on February 17, 2024. (Tobias Schwarz /Pool/AFP via Getty Images)

She also recently represented the US at the Ukraine Peace Summit in June, where she announced a $1.5 billion investment in energy and humanitarian aid and reiterated her condemnation of Russia for its brutal war.

“In the past, these moments on the world stage have been good for (Harris),” Matt Bennett, who served as an aide to former Vice President Al Gore, told CBS News in June. “She looks presidential and is very capable among world leaders.”

John Herbst, the former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine, said he does not expect U.S. policy toward Ukraine to differ much from Biden’s if Harris takes the White House in November.

While this doesn’t mean Harris will be the Democratic nominee, Herbst expects Ukraine policy to be broadly similar to Biden’s if a Democrat is elected this fall, especially if there aren’t many changes at, say, the Defense Department.

Harris’ professional experience as a former lawyer and attorney general was also recalled on the world stage at the 2023 Munich conference, when she said the US had determined that Russia had committed crimes against humanity in Ukraine.

“I say to all those who committed these crimes, and to their superiors who were complicit in these crimes, you will be held accountable,” Harris said. “There are inalienable human rights that governments must respect and the rule of law must be protected.”

Making Russia pay, figuratively and literally, is a constant in Harris’s remarks on the war in Ukraine. She has said that if the U.S. stands by and lets an aggressor invade a neighboring country with impunity, history will repeat itself and they will move on.

Harris’s focus on Ukraine struck different chords at each conference. Sometimes he was direct, sometimes he focused on peace and the return of Ukrainian children abducted by Russia.

At the 2024 Munich conference, she said it was in the US strategic interest to continue supporting Ukraine.

“International rules and norms are at stake… including the fundamental principles of sovereignty and territorial integrity,” she added.

US President Joe Biden and US Vice President Kamala Harris wave to the crowd
U.S. President Joe Biden and U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris wave to the crowd after speaking at a campaign rally at Girard College in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S. on May 29, 2024. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Harris further said the US will support Ukraine’s efforts to achieve lasting peace if the country can emerge from the war as a “nation that is free, democratic and independent.”

Without specifically mentioning former President Trump, Harris’ comments about the war in Ukraine have at times reached multiple audiences.

“In these troubled times, it is clear that America cannot retreat. America must stand strong for democracy,” Harris said at the 2024 conference. “We must stand up for international rules and norms, and we must stand with our allies.”

Some in the United States disagree, she added in her remarks.

“They suggest that it is in the best interests of the American people to isolate ourselves from the world, to ignore common understandings among nations, to embrace dictators and repressive tactics, and to abandon commitments to our allies in favor of unilateral action,” Harris said.

“That worldview is dangerous, destabilizing and indeed short-sighted.”

Harris’s foreign policy experience, especially recently as she has moved from being in the shadows to being in the spotlight, has been one marked by close involvement with Ukraine.

However, Peter Rough, a senior fellow at the conservative Hudson Institute, said it is unclear how Harris would approach Ukraine if elected.

“While we don’t know how Kamala Harris would handle the Ukraine dossier as president, we do know that she is not a foreign policy specialist and that she adheres to progressive values,” Rough said.

“For now, I expect continuity on the Harris campaign trail as she defends the administration’s performance and seeks to mobilize the Democratic Party.”

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